@InProceedings{MartínezNúSiTaTrMoLa:2006:RePiSt,
               author = "Mart{\'{\i}}nez, Alejandra and N{\'u}ñez, Enma and Silva, 
                         Yamina and Takahashi, Ken and Trasmonte, Grace and Mosquera, Kobi 
                         and Lagos, Pablo",
          affiliation = "Instituto Geof{\'{\i}}sico del Per{\'u}, Calle Badajoz 169 
                         Mayorazgo IV Etapa, Ate, Lima, Per{\'u} (Martinez, Silva, 
                         Trasmonte, Mosquera, Lagos) and Yanapai, Jir{\'o}n Atahualpa 
                         297-Concepci{\'o}n, Jun{\'{\i}}n, Per{\'u} (N{\'u}ñez) and 
                         University of Washington, 408 ATG Bldg., Box 351640 Seattle, WA 
                         98195 USA (Takahashi)",
                title = "Vulnerability and adaptation to climate change in the Peruvian 
                         Central Andes: Results of a Pilot Study",
            booktitle = "Proceedings...",
                 year = "2006",
               editor = "Vera, Carolina and Nobre, Carlos",
                pages = "297--305",
         organization = "International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and 
                         Oceanography, 8. (ICSHMO).",
            publisher = "American Meteorological Society (AMS)",
              address = "45 Beacon Hill Road, Boston, MA, USA",
             keywords = "climate variability, climate change, vulnerability, adaptation.",
             abstract = "The Mantaro river is one of the most important rivers of Peruvian 
                         Central Andes, as its hydropower provides 35% of the electricity 
                         in Peru and its valley provides most of the crops for Lima. The 
                         Geophysical Institute of Peru developed the pilot study 
                         {"}Integrated Local Assessment of the Mantaro river basin{"} to 
                         characterize the climate of the region, make future climate change 
                         projections and assess the vulnerability of the region to climate 
                         variability and change. Based on this, adaptation measures would 
                         be proposed. The climate scenarios for 2050 indicate an increase 
                         of 1,3?C and 1g/kg in temperature and specific humidity, 
                         respectively, and a reduction of 6% in humidity relative in the 
                         Mantaro basin during the months of December to February. 
                         Precipitations would diminish by 10%, 19% and 14% in the northern, 
                         central and southern zones of the basin, respectively. The 
                         analysis of these results and projected socioeconomic information 
                         to the 2050 indicates that the main problem associated to climate 
                         change will be a reduction in the availability of water due to the 
                         reduction in precipitations. This will affect all the 
                         socioeconomic sectors. The increase in the temperatures can bring 
                         opportunities and disadvantages. . With respect to agriculture, 
                         the reduction in precipitation will be the main limiting factor, 
                         although the increase of the temperatures could allow cultivation 
                         on greater altitudes. On the other hand, the increase of the 
                         temperatures can produce greater incidence of diseases and 
                         plagues, as well as disappearance of areas adequate for the 
                         cultivation of maca. A possible increase in the frequency of 
                         frosts would also damage other crops. . The electrical energy 
                         production will also be negatively affected by the reduction in 
                         precipitations. The projections for Lake Junin, the main reservoir 
                         of the basin, indicate a decrease in precipitations by 10%. . The 
                         effect of climate change in health sector will be mainly through 
                         the reduction in availability of potable water, which will 
                         increase the incidence of diseases. Also, an increase in UV 
                         radiation would make diseases like skin cancer and damages in the 
                         eyes cataracts and pterignon) more likely..",
  conference-location = "Foz do Igua{\c{c}}u",
      conference-year = "24-28 Apr. 2006",
             language = "en",
         organisation = "American Meteorological Society (AMS)",
                  ibi = "cptec.inpe.br/adm_conf/2005/10.20.21.52",
                  url = "http://urlib.net/ibi/cptec.inpe.br/adm_conf/2005/10.20.21.52",
           targetfile = "297-305.pdf",
                 type = "Climate change in the SH",
        urlaccessdate = "10 maio 2024"
}